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Reading Price Action

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It’s November: Fed Tapering, Jobs data and Inflation

November 1, 2021 by 2deepaksingh Leave a Comment

Here are the market observations for today.

  1. Dow Jones is at 36K. Is it too risky to invest now? The market is entering one of the most bullish periods seasonally. 
  2. This week – US Fed will announce the Fed policy decision on Wednesday and then the market will have to deal with Jobs data on Friday.
  3. The upcoming FOMC meeting will be important for three reasons: 1) the announcement of tapering; 2) guidance around what tapering means for the path of hikes; and 3) nuanced changes in views around inflation risks given recent data ~ Bank of America economist Michelle Meyer
  4. Will Small cap index IWM ETF breakout above 234. A move above 230 today is very encouraging.
  5. Clean Energy/Alternative Fuels/Hydrogen economy stocks continue to move higher be it FCEL, up 12%, or PLUG up 6%
  6. “How people pay is undergoing a massive transformation” ~ Paul Williamson, Plaid.
  7. MQ has made a perfect bullish breakout chart. Here’s how it looks. It’s the business momentum that’s driving the stock higher. The card issuing company added Uber and Bill.com as their new customers.
  8. BKKT has a momentum of its own. The stock is very volatile to trade but the bullish energy is there for everyone to see. The momentum started when the company signed a partnership with Mastercard to enable card-backed crypto payments.
  9. Momentum Trading is a methodology. It is not a quick-rich scheme. 
  10. Crypto adoption is the bullish theme right now. No wonder Silvergate SI is up 10% and Coinbase is surging higher. A breakout above $180 will kickstart a new momentum in the SI stock.
  11. This is what happened to Moderna MRNA stock when it broke past 186. Yes, I will buy SI again if it breaks past 180.
  12. I am glad IO is on move. It is in my speculative growth portfolio. The stock is up 25% today
  13. Lucid Motors LCID has a perfect chart and the stock looks like a buy between 35-37. Problem: Earnings on Nov 15?
  14. Lots of stocks today have made an excellent bullish move like SOFI, MTTR, FUBO but with earnings ahead, its hard to take a position
  15. Uncertainty is an uncomfortable position. But certainty is an absurd one ~ Voltaire

 

Trade Sheet:

Disclaimer – The state of the market notes is Deepak’s perspective on the market. The column is purely for educational purposes. Nothing contained herein is a solicitation to trade or a recommendation of a specific trade. By reading this publication you agree to make no trade relying in whole or in part on the comments of the writers

Filed Under: Daily Dose

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